Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 21973.3 ft601.46 m+0.1 ft+0.02 m from todayLikely 1973.1601.41 to 1973.5 ft601.52 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 91973.2 ft601.44 m0.0 ft+0.01 m from todayLikely 1973.0601.38 to 1973.7 ft601.60 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 5%

In a month · by Nov 251973.1 ft601.40 m−0.1 ft−0.03 m from todayLikely 1972.8601.32 to 1974.6 ft601.85 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 10%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.9 in22 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 1.4 in35 mm normal 0.5 in12 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.

Map

Map of Oak Creek Reservoir with the dam, level gauge and 3 public boat ramps.

Dam
Level gauge
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	1973.1601.41	1973.3601.46	1973.5601.52
Nov 9	1973.0601.38	1973.2601.44	1973.7601.60
Nov 25	1972.8601.32	1973.1601.40	1974.6601.85

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.17 ft0.05 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.26 ft0.08 m
Actual level inside our range: 82% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Downstream

O. H. Ivie Reservoir1529.0 ft466.05 m · 41%

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Oak Creek Reservoir

Oak Creek Reservoir is a water-supply lake on Oak Creek in Coke County, built in 1952 and owned by the City of Sweetwater. Oak Creek drains to the Colorado River above O. H. Ivie Reservoir.

More: Texas Water Development Board

Full pool (conservation): 2000.0 ft609.60 m
Highest level since 1999: 2002.2 ft610.26 m, Oct 2018
Lowest level since 1999: 1965.7 ft599.13 m, Jun 2003
Surface area at normal pool: 2,375 acres961 ha
Conservation storage: 39,210 acre-feet48 million m³
Dam: Oak Creek Dam, 1952
River or creek: Oak Creek
County: Coke
Owner: City of Sweetwater

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is Oak Creek Reservoir full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 1973.2 ft, 26.8 ft below full pool (2000.0 ft), holding 13% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 601.44 m, 8.16 m below full pool (609.60 m), holding 13% of its conservation storage.

Is Oak Creek Reservoir going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 1973.0 ft and 1973.7 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 601.38 m and 601.60 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.