Outlook
Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.
Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.
- Rain, past 7 days
- 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
- Rain forecast, next 7 days
- 0.6 in15 mm normal 0.6 in16 mm
Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.
Map
Map of Coleto Creek Reservoir with the dam, level gauge and 1 public boat ramp.
- Dam
- Level gauge
- Public boat ramp
Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.
Level and outlook
FeetMeters above sea level
- Measured
- Middle estimate
- 8 in 10 range
- Full pool
Show outlook as a table
| Date | Low end | Middle | High end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | 94.528.81 | 94.628.84 | 94.828.91 |
| Nov 9 | 94.428.79 | 94.628.84 | 95.429.07 |
| Nov 25 | 94.328.74 | 94.728.85 | 96.729.48 |
How well this outlook has done here
We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.
- On average it was off by
- 0.22 ft0.07 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.30 ft0.09 m
- Actual level inside our range
- 81% of 428 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).
Nearby lakes
Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.
- Lake Texana37 mi60 km away · 41.3 ft12.59 m · 84%
- Lake Corpus Christi64 mi103 km away · 91.3 ft27.82 m · 80%
- Choke Canyon Reservoir68 mi109 km away · 190.5 ft58.08 m · 21%
- Canyon Lake100 mi161 km away · 907.4 ft276.57 m · 97%
- Lake Austin116 mi186 km away · 492.3 ft150.04 m · 96%
- Barker Reservoir116 mi187 km away · 69.9 ft21.32 m
About Coleto Creek Reservoir
Coleto Creek Reservoir is on Coleto and Perdido creeks about 15 miles southwest of Victoria, extending into Goliad County. The Guadalupe-Blanco River Authority built it in 1980 as a cooling pond for a power station, and it is also used for fishing and boating.
- Full pool (conservation)
- 98.0 ft29.87 m
- Highest level since 1998
- 99.5 ft30.32 m, Nov 2004
- Lowest level since 1998
- 92.8 ft28.28 m, Jan 2015
- Surface area at normal pool
- 3,100 acres1,255 ha
- Conservation storage
- 31,040 acre-feet38 million m³
- Dam
- Coleto Creek Dam, 1980
- River or creek
- Coleto Creek
- County
- Victoria
- Owner
- Guadalupe-blanco River Authority
Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).
Common questions
Is Coleto Creek Reservoir full right now?
On Oct 26 it was 94.6 ft, 3.4 ft below full pool (98.0 ft), holding 75% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 28.85 m, 1.02 m below full pool (29.87 m), holding 75% of its conservation storage.
Is Coleto Creek Reservoir going up or down?
The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 94.4 ft and 95.4 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 28.79 m and 29.07 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.
Where does this data come from?
Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.