Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 241.0 ft12.50 m−0.3 ft−0.09 m from todayLikely 40.612.37 to 41.4 ft12.62 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 940.7 ft12.39 m−0.6 ft−0.20 m from todayLikely 40.512.36 to 42.1 ft12.83 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 10%

In a month · by Nov 2540.6 ft12.38 m−0.7 ft−0.21 m from todayLikely 39.912.17 to 42.9 ft13.06 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 15%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 0.5 in12 mm normal 0.9 in22 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.

Map

Map of Lake Texana with the dam, level gauge and 8 public boat ramps.

Dam
Level gauge
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	40.612.37	41.012.50	41.412.62
Nov 9	40.512.36	40.712.39	42.112.83
Nov 25	39.912.17	40.612.38	42.913.06

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.33 ft0.10 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.45 ft0.14 m
Actual level inside our range: 80% of 424 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
When we said a rise was possible (20–40%): 18% of those 33 times it ended 1 ft0.3 m or more higher

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Lake Texana

Lake Texana is a reservoir on the Navidad River about 8 miles east of Edna in Jackson County, formed by Palmetto Bend Dam in 1981. The Lavaca-Navidad River Authority runs it to supply water to nearby communities and industry.

More: Wikipedia · Texas Water Development Board

Full pool (conservation): 44.0 ft13.41 m
Highest level since 1999: 44.6 ft13.58 m, Sep 2001
Lowest level since 1999: 30.8 ft9.38 m, Jan 2012
Surface area at normal pool: 9,727 acres3,936 ha
Conservation storage: 158,975 acre-feet196 million m³
Dam: Palmetto Bend Dam, 1981
River or creek: Navidad River
County: Jackson
Owner: Lavaca-navidad River Authority

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is Lake Texana full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 41.3 ft, 2.7 ft below full pool (44.0 ft), holding 84% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 12.59 m, 0.82 m below full pool (13.41 m), holding 84% of its conservation storage.

Is Lake Texana going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is down about 0.6 ft, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 40.5 ft and 42.1 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is 10%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is down about 0.20 m, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 12.36 m and 12.83 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is 10%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.