Outlook
Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.
Higher chance of a rise. 30% chance the lake is 1 ft0.3 m or more above today's level on Nov 9.
- Rain, past 7 days
- 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
- Rain forecast, next 7 days
- 0.4 in10 mm normal 1.1 in27 mm
Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.
Map
Map of Barker Reservoir, level gauge.
- Level gauge
Level and outlook
FeetMeters above sea level
- Measured
- Middle estimate
- 8 in 10 range
- Full pool
Show outlook as a table
| Date | Low end | Middle | High end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | 69.421.17 | 70.021.33 | 72.822.20 |
| Nov 9 | 69.721.24 | 70.121.36 | 79.724.29 |
| Nov 25 | 69.621.23 | 70.421.45 | 82.425.11 |
How well this outlook has done here
We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.
- On average it was off by
- 3.67 ft1.12 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 4.51 ft1.37 m
- Actual level inside our range
- 73% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
- When we said a rise was possible (20–40%)
- 38% of those 162 times it ended 1 ft0.3 m or more higher
The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).
Nearby lakes
Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.
- Addicks Reservoir2 mi3 km away · 76.4 ft23.28 m
- Lake Houston32 mi51 km away · 42.1 ft12.85 m · 98%
- Lake Conroe41 mi66 km away · 199.4 ft60.78 m · 93%
- Gibbons Creek Reservoir63 mi102 km away · 245.5 ft74.82 m · 86%
- Somerville Lake65 mi105 km away · 236.2 ft71.98 m · 87%
- Lake Livingston71 mi114 km away · 129.2 ft39.37 m · 91%
About Barker Reservoir
Barker Reservoir is a U.S. Army Corps of Engineers flood-control reservoir in west Houston, working alongside Addicks Reservoir to protect Buffalo Bayou and the city downstream. George Bush Park lies entirely inside the reservoir. Because it exists to hold back floodwater, its level can change quickly after heavy rain.
- Full pool (conservation)
- 70.9 ft21.61 m
- Highest level since 2008
- 101.5 ft30.93 m, Aug 2017
- Lowest level since 2008
- 69.2 ft21.09 m, May 2022
Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NAVD88).
Common questions
Is Barker Reservoir full right now?
On Oct 26 it was 69.9 ft, 1.0 ft below full pool (70.9 ft).On Oct 26 it was 21.32 m, 0.29 m below full pool (21.61 m).
Is Barker Reservoir going up or down?
The middle estimate for Nov 9 is up about 0.1 ft, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 69.7 ft and 79.7 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is 30%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is up about 0.05 m, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 21.24 m and 24.29 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is 30%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.
Where does this data come from?
Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.