Outlook
Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.
Higher chance of a rise. 30% chance the lake is 1 ft0.3 m or more above today's level on Nov 9.
- Rain, past 7 days
- 2.1 in55 mm watershed average
- Rain forecast, next 7 days
- 0.4 in9 mm normal 0.2 in6 mm
Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.
Map
Map of Lake Meredith with the dam, level gauge and 12 public boat ramps.
- Dam
- Level gauge
- Public boat ramp
Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.
Level and outlook
FeetMeters above sea level
- Measured
- Middle estimate
- 8 in 10 range
- Full pool
Show outlook as a table
| Date | Low end | Middle | High end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | 2891.7881.40 | 2892.2881.54 | 2893.4881.90 |
| Nov 9 | 2891.7881.40 | 2892.4881.60 | 2894.5882.25 |
| Nov 25 | 2891.6881.35 | 2892.5881.62 | 2895.1882.43 |
How well this outlook has done here
We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.
- On average it was off by
- 0.22 ft0.07 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.31 ft0.09 m
- Actual level inside our range
- 87% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).
Nearby lakes
Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.
About Lake Meredith
Lake Meredith is a reservoir on the Canadian River at Sanford, about 30 miles northeast of Amarillo, formed by Sanford Dam in 1965. It was long a major water source for Amarillo, Lubbock and other Panhandle and South Plains towns. Its level has swung widely, including record lows in the drought years after 2000.
- Full pool (conservation)
- 2936.5 ft895.05 m
- Highest level since 1995
- 2908.8 ft886.61 m, Aug 1999
- Lowest level since 1995
- 2839.1 ft865.37 m, Aug 2013
- Surface area at normal pool
- 16,513 acres6,683 ha
- Conservation storage
- 500,000 acre-feet617 million m³
- Dam
- Sanford Dam, 1965
- River or creek
- Canadian River
- County
- Hutchinson
- Owner
- Bureau of Reclamation
Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).
Common questions
Is Lake Meredith full right now?
On Oct 26 it was 2891.6 ft, 44.9 ft below full pool (2936.5 ft), holding 45% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 881.36 m, 13.68 m below full pool (895.05 m), holding 45% of its conservation storage.
Is Lake Meredith going up or down?
The middle estimate for Nov 9 is up about 0.8 ft, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 2891.7 ft and 2894.5 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is 30%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is up about 0.24 m, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 881.40 m and 882.25 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is 30%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.
Where does this data come from?
Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.