Outlook
Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.
Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.
- Rain, past 7 days
- 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
- Rain forecast, next 7 days
- 0.5 in13 mm normal 1.0 in25 mm
Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.
Map
Map of Mountain Creek Lake with the dam, level gauge and 1 public boat ramp.
- Dam
- Level gauge
- Public boat ramp
Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.
Level and outlook
FeetMeters above sea level
- Measured
- Middle estimate
- 8 in 10 range
- Full pool
Show outlook as a table
| Date | Low end | Middle | High end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | 457.5139.44 | 457.6139.49 | 457.8139.55 |
| Nov 9 | 457.5139.44 | 457.6139.49 | 457.9139.58 |
| Nov 25 | 457.4139.42 | 457.6139.46 | 457.8139.55 |
How well this outlook has done here
We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.
- On average it was off by
- 0.15 ft0.05 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.17 ft0.05 m
- Actual level inside our range
- 82% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).
Connected lakes
Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.
Downstream
Nearby lakes
Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.
- Lake Arlington15 mi23 km away · 545.7 ft166.32 m · 80%
- Grapevine Lake18 mi29 km away · 532.6 ft162.35 m · 91%
- Lewisville Lake23 mi38 km away · 518.0 ft157.87 m · 82%
- Lake Ray Hubbard26 mi42 km away · 431.8 ft131.62 m · 83%
- Lake Worth28 mi45 km away · 591.6 ft180.33 m · 68%
- Lake Waxahachie28 mi45 km away · 526.9 ft160.59 m · 75%
About Mountain Creek Lake
Mountain Creek Lake is a reservoir in southwest Dallas, about 8 miles from downtown, built in 1936 and owned by a power company. Joe Pool Lake is upstream on Mountain Creek, and the creek continues to the Trinity River.
- Full pool (conservation)
- 457.0 ft139.29 m
- Highest level since 1987
- 458.7 ft139.82 m, Oct 2023
- Lowest level since 1987
- 454.4 ft138.51 m, Sep 1998
- Surface area at normal pool
- 2,880 acres1,165 ha
- Conservation storage
- 22,850 acre-feet28 million m³
- Dam
- Mountain Creek Dam, 1936
- River or creek
- Mountain Creek
- County
- Dallas
- Owner
- Constellation Texas Power Services LLC
Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).
Common questions
Is Mountain Creek Lake full right now?
On Oct 26 it was 457.7 ft, 0.7 ft above full pool (457.0 ft), holding 100% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 139.51 m, 0.21 m above full pool (139.29 m), holding 100% of its conservation storage.
Is Mountain Creek Lake going up or down?
The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 457.5 ft and 457.9 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 139.44 m and 139.58 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.
Where does this data come from?
Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.