Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 2731.3 ft222.89 m−0.1 ft−0.03 m from todayLikely 731.2222.87 to 731.5 ft222.96 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 9731.2 ft222.88 m−0.1 ft−0.03 m from todayLikely 731.1222.84 to 731.8 ft223.06 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 5%

In a month · by Nov 25731.1 ft222.84 m−0.2 ft−0.07 m from todayLikely 730.9222.78 to 732.8 ft223.35 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 25%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 0.5 in12 mm normal 0.9 in22 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.

Map

Map of Lake Pat Cleburne with the dam, level gauge and 4 public boat ramps.

Dam
Level gauge
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	731.2222.87	731.3222.89	731.5222.96
Nov 9	731.1222.84	731.2222.88	731.8223.06
Nov 25	730.9222.78	731.1222.84	732.8223.35

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.29 ft0.09 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.41 ft0.12 m
Actual level inside our range: 78% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Downstream

Whitney Lake530.6 ft161.72 m · 91%

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Lake Pat Cleburne

Lake Pat Cleburne is the city water-supply lake for Cleburne, on the Nolan River in Johnson County, impounded in 1964. The Nolan River flows on to Lake Whitney.

More: Wikipedia · Texas Water Development Board

Full pool (conservation): 733.5 ft223.57 m
Highest level since 1998: 738.0 ft224.94 m, Nov 2015
Lowest level since 1998: 724.2 ft220.74 m, Oct 2022
Surface area at normal pool: 1,550 acres627 ha
Conservation storage: 26,008 acre-feet32 million m³
Dam: Lake Pat Cleburne Dam, 1964
River or creek: Nolan River
County: Johnson
Owner: City of Cleburne

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is Lake Pat Cleburne full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 731.3 ft, 2.2 ft below full pool (733.5 ft), holding 87% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 222.91 m, 0.66 m below full pool (223.57 m), holding 87% of its conservation storage.

Is Lake Pat Cleburne going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 731.1 ft and 731.8 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 222.84 m and 223.06 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.