Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 21740.5 ft530.50 m0.0 ft0.00 m from todayLikely 1740.4530.47 to 1740.7 ft530.56 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 91740.5 ft530.50 m0.0 ft0.00 m from todayLikely 1740.3530.46 to 1740.9 ft530.64 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In a month · by Nov 251740.4 ft530.47 m−0.1 ft−0.03 m from todayLikely 1740.2530.40 to 1741.9 ft530.92 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 5%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 0.9 in24 mm normal 0.5 in13 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.

Map

Map of Brady Creek Reservoir with the dam and 3 public boat ramps.

Dam
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	1740.4530.47	1740.5530.50	1740.7530.56
Nov 9	1740.3530.46	1740.5530.50	1740.9530.64
Nov 25	1740.2530.40	1740.4530.47	1741.9530.92

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.23 ft0.07 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.31 ft0.09 m
Actual level inside our range: 79% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Downstream

Lake Buchanan1018.3 ft310.39 m · 96%

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Brady Creek Reservoir

Brady Creek Reservoir is a city lake on Brady Creek about 3 miles west of downtown Brady in McCulloch County. It was impounded in 1963 and is managed by the City of Brady. It is in the upper Colorado River basin; the next lake downstream in this list is Lake Buchanan, far to the east.

More: Wikipedia · Texas Water Development Board

Full pool (conservation): 1743.0 ft531.27 m
Highest level since 1999: 1744.6 ft531.76 m, Oct 2018
Lowest level since 1999: 1724.8 ft525.72 m, Jul 2013
Surface area at normal pool: 2,020 acres817 ha
Conservation storage: 28,808 acre-feet36 million m³
Dam: Brady Lake Dam, 1963
River or creek: Brady Creek
County: McCulloch
Owner: City of Brady

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is Brady Creek Reservoir full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 1740.5 ft, 2.5 ft below full pool (1743.0 ft), holding 84% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 530.50 m, 0.77 m below full pool (531.27 m), holding 84% of its conservation storage.

Is Brady Creek Reservoir going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 1740.3 ft and 1740.9 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 530.46 m and 530.64 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.