Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 21712.5 ft521.96 m0.0 ft−0.01 m from todayLikely 1712.4521.94 to 1712.8 ft522.06 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 91712.5 ft521.96 m0.0 ft−0.01 m from todayLikely 1712.3521.92 to 1712.9 ft522.10 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 5%

In a month · by Nov 251712.5 ft521.95 m−0.1 ft−0.02 m from todayLikely 1712.1521.85 to 1713.3 ft522.22 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 10%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.4 in11 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 1.0 in25 mm normal 0.6 in14 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.

Map

Map of Lake Coleman with the dam, level gauge and 2 public boat ramps.

Dam
Level gauge
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	1712.4521.94	1712.5521.96	1712.8522.06
Nov 9	1712.3521.92	1712.5521.96	1712.9522.10
Nov 25	1712.1521.85	1712.5521.95	1713.3522.22

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.21 ft0.06 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.31 ft0.09 m
Actual level inside our range: 82% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Downstream

Lake Brownwood1422.7 ft433.64 m · 89%

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Lake Coleman

Lake Coleman is a reservoir on Jim Ned Creek in Coleman County, about 14 miles north of Coleman, completed in 1966. The City of Coleman owns it for water supply. Jim Ned Creek continues downstream to Lake Brownwood.

More: Texas Water Development Board

Full pool (conservation): 1717.5 ft523.49 m
Highest level since 1999: 1723.8 ft525.41 m, Jul 2002
Lowest level since 1999: 1697.9 ft517.52 m, Apr 2015
Surface area at normal pool: 1,886 acres763 ha
Conservation storage: 38,075 acre-feet47 million m³
Dam: Coleman Dam, 1966
River or creek: Jim Ned Creek
County: Coleman
Owner: City of Coleman

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is Lake Coleman full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 1712.5 ft, 5.0 ft below full pool (1717.5 ft), holding 77% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 521.97 m, 1.52 m below full pool (523.49 m), holding 77% of its conservation storage.

Is Lake Coleman going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 1712.3 ft and 1712.9 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 521.92 m and 522.10 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.