Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 21888.0 ft575.47 m−0.1 ft−0.02 m from todayLikely 1888.0575.45 to 1888.3 ft575.54 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 91888.0 ft575.47 m−0.1 ft−0.02 m from todayLikely 1887.9575.42 to 1888.4 ft575.58 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In a month · by Nov 251887.9 ft575.44 m−0.1 ft−0.04 m from todayLikely 1887.7575.36 to 1889.3 ft575.85 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 5%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.1 in2 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 0.9 in23 mm normal 0.6 in14 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

Map

Map of Hords Creek Lake with the dam, level gauge and 4 public boat ramps.

Dam
Level gauge
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	1888.0575.45	1888.0575.47	1888.3575.54
Nov 9	1887.9575.42	1888.0575.47	1888.4575.58
Nov 25	1887.7575.36	1887.9575.44	1889.3575.85

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.21 ft0.06 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.31 ft0.09 m
Actual level inside our range: 82% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Downstream

Lake Brownwood1422.7 ft433.64 m · 89%

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Hords Creek Lake

Hords Creek Lake is a small U.S. Army Corps of Engineers reservoir on Hords Creek in Coleman County, near Coleman, built in 1948 for flood control and water supply. Its outflow drains toward Lake Brownwood.

More: Texas Water Development Board · U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

Full pool (conservation): 1900.0 ft579.12 m
Highest level since 2000: 1901.0 ft579.43 m, Mar 2005
Lowest level since 2000: 1879.1 ft572.75 m, Apr 2024
Surface area at normal pool: 510 acres206 ha
Conservation storage: 8,109 acre-feet10 million m³
Dam: Hords Creek Dam, 1948
River or creek: Hords Creek
County: Coleman
Owner: USACE - Fort Worth District

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is Hords Creek Lake full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 1888.1 ft, 11.9 ft below full pool (1900.0 ft), holding 45% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 575.48 m, 3.64 m below full pool (579.12 m), holding 45% of its conservation storage.

Is Hords Creek Lake going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 1887.9 ft and 1888.4 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 575.42 m and 575.58 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.