Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 2861.1 ft262.47 m−0.1 ft−0.02 m from todayLikely 861.1262.45 to 861.3 ft262.51 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 9861.1 ft262.46 m−0.1 ft−0.02 m from todayLikely 861.0262.44 to 861.3 ft262.53 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In a month · by Nov 25861.0 ft262.43 m−0.2 ft−0.06 m from todayLikely 860.9262.39 to 862.0 ft262.73 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 10%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.1 in3 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 0.6 in15 mm normal 0.8 in20 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.

Map

Map of Lake Mineral Wells with the dam.

Dam

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	861.1262.45	861.1262.47	861.3262.51
Nov 9	861.0262.44	861.1262.46	861.3262.53
Nov 25	860.9262.39	861.0262.43	862.0262.73

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.17 ft0.05 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.22 ft0.07 m
Actual level inside our range: 78% of 430 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Downstream

Lake Granbury690.6 ft210.51 m · 88%

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Lake Mineral Wells

Lake Mineral Wells is a small reservoir on Rock Creek in Parker County, built in 1920 by the City of Mineral Wells for water supply, with Lake Mineral Wells State Park on its shore. Rock Creek drains toward Lake Granbury on the Brazos.

More: Texas Water Development Board

Full pool (conservation): 863.0 ft263.04 m
Highest level since 1999: 865.0 ft263.64 m, Mar 2016
Lowest level since 1999: 854.6 ft260.49 m, Dec 2014
Surface area at normal pool: 668 acres270 ha
Conservation storage: 5,273 acre-feet6.5 million m³
Dam: Lake Mineral Wells Dam, 1920
River or creek: Rock Creek
County: Parker
Owner: City of Mineral Wells

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is Lake Mineral Wells full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 861.2 ft, 1.8 ft below full pool (863.0 ft), holding 85% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 262.48 m, 0.56 m below full pool (263.04 m), holding 85% of its conservation storage.

Is Lake Mineral Wells going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 861.0 ft and 861.3 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 262.44 m and 262.53 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.