Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 21005.3 ft306.42 m−0.1 ft−0.02 m from todayLikely 1005.2306.40 to 1005.4 ft306.46 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 91005.3 ft306.40 m−0.1 ft−0.04 m from todayLikely 1005.2306.37 to 1005.5 ft306.48 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In a month · by Nov 251005.1 ft306.35 m−0.3 ft−0.08 m from todayLikely 1004.9306.30 to 1006.2 ft306.68 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 5%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.0 in1 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 0.7 in17 mm normal 0.7 in18 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.

Map

Map of Lost Creek Reservoir with the dam, level gauge and 1 public boat ramp.

Dam
Level gauge
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	1005.2306.40	1005.3306.42	1005.4306.46
Nov 9	1005.2306.37	1005.3306.40	1005.5306.48
Nov 25	1004.9306.30	1005.1306.35	1006.2306.68

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.20 ft0.06 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.29 ft0.09 m
Actual level inside our range: 79% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Downstream

Lake Bridgeport826.7 ft251.98 m · 72%

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Lost Creek Reservoir

Lost Creek Reservoir is a small water-supply lake on Lost Creek in Jack County, built in 1991 and owned by the City of Jacksboro. Its outflow drains toward Lake Bridgeport on the West Fork of the Trinity.

More: Texas Water Development Board

Full pool (conservation): 1009.5 ft307.70 m
Highest level since 1999: 1017.9 ft310.27 m, Apr 2016
Lowest level since 1999: 995.4 ft303.40 m, Feb 2015
Surface area at normal pool: 390 acres158 ha
Conservation storage: 11,950 acre-feet15 million m³
Dam: Lost Creek Dam, 1991
River or creek: Lost Creek
County: Jack
Owner: City of Jacksboro

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is Lost Creek Reservoir full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 1005.4 ft, 4.1 ft below full pool (1009.5 ft), holding 87% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 306.44 m, 1.26 m below full pool (307.70 m), holding 87% of its conservation storage.

Is Lost Creek Reservoir going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 1005.2 ft and 1005.5 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 306.37 m and 306.48 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.