Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 2863.5 ft263.19 m−0.1 ft−0.03 m from todayLikely 863.4263.17 to 863.6 ft263.23 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 9863.4 ft263.16 m−0.2 ft−0.06 m from todayLikely 863.3263.14 to 863.7 ft263.26 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In a month · by Nov 25863.1 ft263.09 m−0.5 ft−0.14 m from todayLikely 863.0263.03 to 864.4 ft263.45 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 5%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.1 in3 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 0.5 in14 mm normal 0.7 in18 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.

Map

Map of Lake Palo Pinto with the dam, level gauge and 3 public boat ramps.

Dam
Level gauge
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	863.4263.17	863.5263.19	863.6263.23
Nov 9	863.3263.14	863.4263.16	863.7263.26
Nov 25	863.0263.03	863.1263.09	864.4263.45

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.24 ft0.07 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.34 ft0.10 m
Actual level inside our range: 86% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Downstream

Lake Granbury690.6 ft210.51 m · 88%

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Lake Palo Pinto

Lake Palo Pinto (Palo Pinto Creek Reservoir) is on Palo Pinto Creek in Palo Pinto County, south of the town of Palo Pinto, built in 1964. It supplies water to Mineral Wells and the county water district. Palo Pinto Creek reaches the Brazos River above Lake Granbury.

More: Wikipedia · Texas Water Development Board

Full pool (conservation): 867.0 ft264.26 m
Highest level since 1999: 871.2 ft265.54 m, Jun 2016
Lowest level since 1999: 846.7 ft258.07 m, Feb 2015
Surface area at normal pool: 2,661 acres1,077 ha
Conservation storage: 26,766 acre-feet33 million m³
Dam: Lake Palo Pinto Dam, 1964
River or creek: Palo Pinto Creek
County: Palo Pinto
Owner: City of Mineral Wells;palo Pinto County MWD 1

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is Lake Palo Pinto full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 863.6 ft, 3.4 ft below full pool (867.0 ft), holding 73% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 263.23 m, 1.03 m below full pool (264.26 m), holding 73% of its conservation storage.

Is Lake Palo Pinto going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is down about 0.2 ft, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 863.3 ft and 863.7 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is down about 0.06 m, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 263.14 m and 263.26 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.