Outlook
Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.
Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.
- Rain, past 7 days
- 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
- Rain forecast, next 7 days
- 0.6 in15 mm normal 1.0 in26 mm
Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.
Map
Map of Caddo Lake with the dam and 12 public boat ramps.
- Dam
- Public boat ramp
Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.
Level and outlook
FeetMeters above sea level
- Measured
- Middle estimate
- 8 in 10 range
- Full pool
Show outlook as a table
| Date | Low end | Middle | High end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | 167.150.94 | 167.250.97 | 167.351.01 |
| Nov 9 | 167.250.95 | 167.351.00 | 167.551.06 |
| Nov 25 | 167.150.93 | 167.651.08 | 168.251.26 |
How well this outlook has done here
We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.
- On average it was off by
- 0.33 ft0.10 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.42 ft0.13 m
- Actual level inside our range
- 82% of 414 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).
Connected lakes
Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.
Nearby lakes
Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.
- Wright Patman Lake43 mi70 km away · 224.8 ft68.53 m · 100%
- Martin Lake49 mi79 km away · 301.9 ft92.02 m · 75%
- Lake Cherokee50 mi80 km away · 277.0 ft84.42 m · 76%
- Murvaul Lake55 mi89 km away · 263.8 ft80.39 m · 87%
- Lake Bob Sandlin68 mi110 km away · 334.6 ft101.99 m · 87%
- Monticello Reservoir70 mi113 km away · 334.5 ft101.94 m · 72%
About Caddo Lake
Caddo Lake is a large lake and cypress wetland on the Texas-Louisiana border, in Harrison and Marion counties and Caddo Parish. It is one of the few natural lakes in Texas, though a dam on the Louisiana side now holds its level. The wetland is internationally protected under the Ramsar Convention, and Lake O’ the Pines is upstream on Big Cypress Bayou.
- Full pool (conservation)
- 168.5 ft51.36 m
- Highest level since 2012
- 180.0 ft54.87 m, Mar 2016
- Lowest level since 2012
- 167.0 ft50.90 m, Oct 2015
- Surface area at normal pool
- 26,800 acres10,846 ha
- Conservation storage
- 29,898 acre-feet37 million m³
- Dam
- Caddo Dam, 1971
- River or creek
- Twelve Mile Bayou
- County
- Caddo
- Owner
- Caddo Levee District Board
Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).
Common questions
Is Caddo Lake full right now?
On Oct 26 it was 167.3 ft, 1.3 ft below full pool (168.5 ft), holding 46% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 50.98 m, 0.38 m below full pool (51.36 m), holding 46% of its conservation storage.
Is Caddo Lake going up or down?
The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 167.2 ft and 167.5 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 50.95 m and 51.06 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.
Where does this data come from?
Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.