Outlook
Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.
Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.
- Rain, past 7 days
- 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
- Rain forecast, next 7 days
- 0.5 in12 mm normal 1.1 in27 mm
Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.
Map
Map of Cedar Creek Reservoir with the dam, level gauge and 13 public boat ramps.
- Dam
- Level gauge
- Public boat ramp
Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.
Level and outlook
FeetMeters above sea level
- Measured
- Middle estimate
- 8 in 10 range
- Full pool
Show outlook as a table
| Date | Low end | Middle | High end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | 315.896.25 | 315.996.28 | 316.196.33 |
| Nov 9 | 315.696.21 | 315.896.26 | 316.196.35 |
| Nov 25 | 315.496.12 | 315.796.24 | 317.096.63 |
How well this outlook has done here
We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.
- On average it was off by
- 0.21 ft0.06 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.30 ft0.09 m
- Actual level inside our range
- 70% of 430 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).
Connected lakes
Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.
Nearby lakes
Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.
- Richland-Chambers Reservoir15 mi23 km away · 312.3 ft95.19 m · 90%
- Lake Halbert20 mi32 km away · 365.3 ft111.33 m · 75%
- Lake Athens22 mi36 km away · 439.4 ft133.94 m · 97%
- Bardwell Lake30 mi48 km away · 418.9 ft127.69 m · 85%
- Navarro Mills Lake38 mi61 km away · 422.2 ft128.68 m · 79%
- Lake Waxahachie39 mi63 km away · 526.9 ft160.59 m · 75%
About Cedar Creek Reservoir
Cedar Creek Reservoir is a large lake in Henderson and Kaufman counties, about 50 miles southeast of Dallas, formed by Joe B. Hogsett Dam in 1966. It is owned by the Tarrant Regional Water District and supplies water to the Fort Worth area. Cedar Creek flows to the Trinity River; Lake Livingston is the next lake downstream.
- Full pool (conservation)
- 322.0 ft98.15 m
- Highest level since 1996
- 323.3 ft98.54 m, Dec 2001
- Lowest level since 1996
- 314.2 ft95.77 m, Dec 2011
- Surface area at normal pool
- 33,099 acres13,395 ha
- Conservation storage
- 644,686 acre-feet795 million m³
- Dam
- Joe B Hogsett Dam, 1966
- River or creek
- Cedar Creek
- County
- Henderson
- Owner
- Tarrant Regional Water District
Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).
Common questions
Is Cedar Creek Reservoir full right now?
On Oct 26 it was 316.0 ft, 6.0 ft below full pool (322.0 ft), holding 72% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 96.31 m, 1.83 m below full pool (98.15 m), holding 72% of its conservation storage.
Is Cedar Creek Reservoir going up or down?
The middle estimate for Nov 9 is down about 0.2 ft, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 315.6 ft and 316.1 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is down about 0.05 m, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 96.21 m and 96.35 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.
Where does this data come from?
Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.