Outlook
Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.
Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.
- Rain, past 7 days
- 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
- Rain forecast, next 7 days
- 0.4 in11 mm normal 1.1 in27 mm
Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.
Map
Map of Lake Palestine with the dam, level gauge and 15 public boat ramps.
- Dam
- Level gauge
- Public boat ramp
Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.
Level and outlook
FeetMeters above sea level
- Measured
- Middle estimate
- 8 in 10 range
- Full pool
Show outlook as a table
| Date | Low end | Middle | High end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | 342.7104.44 | 342.8104.47 | 342.9104.50 |
| Nov 9 | 342.6104.42 | 342.7104.44 | 342.9104.51 |
| Nov 25 | 342.4104.37 | 342.6104.43 | 343.2104.60 |
How well this outlook has done here
We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.
- On average it was off by
- 0.24 ft0.07 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.35 ft0.11 m
- Actual level inside our range
- 77% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).
Connected lakes
Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.
Nearby lakes
Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.
- Lake Jacksonville12 mi20 km away · 421.0 ft128.31 m · 95%
- Lake Tyler20 mi32 km away · 372.6 ft113.56 m · 83%
- Lake Striker28 mi45 km away · 290.5 ft88.54 m · 72%
- Cedar Creek Reservoir43 mi70 km away · 316.0 ft96.31 m · 72%
- Richland-Chambers Reservoir45 mi73 km away · 312.3 ft95.19 m · 90%
- Houston County Lake46 mi74 km away · 259.1 ft78.98 m · 93%
About Lake Palestine
Lake Palestine is a reservoir on the Neches River in northeast Texas, formed by Blackburn Crossing Dam in 1962. The Upper Neches River Municipal Water Authority runs it for industrial, municipal and recreational use. Lake Athens is upstream on a tributary, and B. A. Steinhagen Lake is far downstream.
- Full pool (conservation)
- 345.0 ft105.16 m
- Highest level since 1999
- 349.7 ft106.58 m, Mar 2016
- Lowest level since 1999
- 338.5 ft103.17 m, Nov 2011
- Surface area at normal pool
- 23,112 acres9,353 ha
- Conservation storage
- 367,303 acre-feet453 million m³
- Dam
- Blackburn Crossing Dam, 1962
- River or creek
- Neches River
- Owner
- Upper Neches River Municipal Water Authority
Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).
Common questions
Is Lake Palestine full right now?
On Oct 26 it was 342.8 ft, 2.2 ft below full pool (345.0 ft), holding 87% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 104.49 m, 0.66 m below full pool (105.16 m), holding 87% of its conservation storage.
Is Lake Palestine going up or down?
The middle estimate for Nov 9 is down about 0.2 ft, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 342.6 ft and 342.9 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is down about 0.05 m, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 104.42 m and 104.51 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.
Where does this data come from?
Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.