Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 282.6 ft25.16 m−0.1 ft−0.02 m from todayLikely 82.325.07 to 82.8 ft25.24 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 982.6 ft25.17 m−0.1 ft−0.02 m from todayLikely 82.225.04 to 82.9 ft25.26 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In a month · by Nov 2582.5 ft25.15 m−0.1 ft−0.03 m from todayLikely 81.924.97 to 83.0 ft25.28 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 0.5 in12 mm normal 1.1 in27 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

Map

Map of B. A. Steinhagen Lake with the dam, level gauge and 9 public boat ramps.

Dam
Level gauge
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	82.325.07	82.625.16	82.825.24
Nov 9	82.225.04	82.625.17	82.925.26
Nov 25	81.924.97	82.525.15	83.025.28

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.44 ft0.13 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.50 ft0.15 m
Actual level inside our range: 83% of 428 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Upstream

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About B. A. Steinhagen Lake

B. A. Steinhagen Lake, known locally as “Dam B”, is on the Neches River near Jasper, below the point where the Angelina River joins. Town Bluff Dam was completed in 1951 and is operated by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. The lake sits downstream of Sam Rayburn Reservoir, so releases from Rayburn largely set its level.

More: Wikipedia · Texas Water Development Board · U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

Full pool (conservation): 83.0 ft25.30 m
Highest level since 1987: 170.7 ft52.04 m, Feb 1992
Lowest level since 1987: 0.0 ft0.00 m, Dec 1991
Surface area at normal pool: 14,700 acres5,949 ha
Conservation storage: 69,186 acre-feet85 million m³
Dam: Town Bluff Dam, 1951
River or creek: Neches River
County: Jasper
Owner: USACE - Fort Worth District

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is B. A. Steinhagen Lake full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 82.6 ft, 0.4 ft below full pool (83.0 ft), holding 95% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 25.18 m, 0.12 m below full pool (25.30 m), holding 95% of its conservation storage.

Is B. A. Steinhagen Lake going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 82.2 ft and 82.9 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 25.04 m and 25.26 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.