Outlook
Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.
Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.
- Rain, past 7 days
- 0.0 in0 mm watershed average
- Rain forecast, next 7 days
- 0.7 in17 mm normal 0.7 in17 mm
Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.
Map
Map of Lake Graham with the dam, level gauge and 6 public boat ramps.
- Dam
- Level gauge
- Public boat ramp
Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.
Level and outlook
FeetMeters above sea level
- Measured
- Middle estimate
- 8 in 10 range
- Full pool
Show outlook as a table
| Date | Low end | Middle | High end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | 1067.9325.51 | 1068.0325.53 | 1068.2325.57 |
| Nov 9 | 1067.8325.47 | 1068.0325.51 | 1068.3325.61 |
| Nov 25 | 1067.6325.40 | 1067.8325.46 | 1069.5325.99 |
How well this outlook has done here
We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.
- On average it was off by
- 0.23 ft0.07 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.35 ft0.11 m
- Actual level inside our range
- 80% of 427 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).
Connected lakes
Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.
Nearby lakes
Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.
- Hubbard Creek Reservoir29 mi47 km away · 1166.0 ft355.38 m · 36%
- Lost Creek Reservoir30 mi48 km away · 1005.4 ft306.44 m · 87%
- Lake Kickapoo38 mi61 km away · 1041.9 ft317.57 m · 80%
- Lake Palo Pinto39 mi63 km away · 863.6 ft263.23 m · 73%
- Lake Mineral Wells40 mi64 km away · 861.2 ft262.48 m · 85%
- Lake Bridgeport46 mi73 km away · 826.7 ft251.98 m · 72%
About Lake Graham
Lake Graham is a city water-supply reservoir on Salt and Flint creeks about 2 miles northwest of Graham in Young County. It is really two lakes joined by a canal: Lake Eddleman, dammed in 1929, and Lake Graham, dammed in 1958. Its outflow reaches the Brazos River above Possum Kingdom Lake.
- Full pool (conservation)
- 1075.0 ft327.66 m
- Highest level since 1996
- 1077.8 ft328.50 m, Apr 2010
- Lowest level since 1996
- 1060.1 ft323.13 m, Apr 2015
- Surface area at normal pool
- 1,900 acres769 ha
- Conservation storage
- 45,288 acre-feet56 million m³
- Dam
- Graham Dam, 1958
- River or creek
- Salt Creek
- County
- Young
- Owner
- City of Graham
Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).
Common questions
Is Lake Graham full right now?
On Oct 26 it was 1068.1 ft, 6.9 ft below full pool (1075.0 ft), holding 66% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 325.55 m, 2.11 m below full pool (327.66 m), holding 66% of its conservation storage.
Is Lake Graham going up or down?
The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 1067.8 ft and 1068.3 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 325.47 m and 325.61 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is under 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.
Where does this data come from?
Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.