Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 21165.9 ft355.36 m−0.1 ft−0.02 m from todayLikely 1165.8355.34 to 1166.1 ft355.43 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: under 5%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 91165.8 ft355.34 m−0.1 ft−0.04 m from todayLikely 1165.7355.31 to 1166.1 ft355.43 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 5%

In a month · by Nov 251165.7 ft355.31 m−0.3 ft−0.08 m from todayLikely 1165.5355.24 to 1167.0 ft355.71 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 10%

Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.3 in7 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 0.8 in20 mm normal 0.6 in16 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.

Map

Map of Hubbard Creek Reservoir with the dam, level gauge and 3 public boat ramps.

Dam
Level gauge
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	1165.8355.34	1165.9355.36	1166.1355.43
Nov 9	1165.7355.31	1165.8355.34	1166.1355.43
Nov 25	1165.5355.24	1165.7355.31	1167.0355.71

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.15 ft0.05 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.24 ft0.07 m
Actual level inside our range: 84% of 432 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Upstream

Lake Cisco1502.9 ft458.08 m · 42%

Downstream

Possum Kingdom Lake996.5 ft303.73 m · 92%

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Hubbard Creek Reservoir

Hubbard Creek Reservoir is a large water-supply lake on Hubbard Creek in Stephens County, about six miles northwest of Breckenridge, built in 1962. It is owned by the West Central Texas Municipal Water District. Lake Cisco is upstream, and the outflow reaches the Brazos River above Possum Kingdom Lake.

More: Texas Water Development Board

Full pool (conservation): 1183.3 ft360.67 m
Highest level since 1997: 1185.5 ft361.33 m, Jun 2016
Lowest level since 1997: 1152.0 ft351.12 m, May 2015
Surface area at normal pool: 14,922 acres6,039 ha
Conservation storage: 313,298 acre-feet386 million m³
Dam: Hubbard Creek Dam, 1962
River or creek: Hubbard Creek
County: Stephens
Owner: West Central Texas Municipal Water District

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NAVD88).

Common questions

Is Hubbard Creek Reservoir full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 1166.0 ft, 17.4 ft below full pool (1183.3 ft), holding 36% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 355.38 m, 5.29 m below full pool (360.67 m), holding 36% of its conservation storage.

Is Hubbard Creek Reservoir going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 1165.7 ft and 1166.1 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 355.31 m and 355.43 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.