Outlook
Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.
Rises are harder to call. Heavy rain in the watershed can push the lake above these ranges within days.
- Rain, past 7 days
- 0.1 in2 mm watershed average
- Rain forecast, next 7 days
- 1.0 in24 mm normal 0.5 in12 mm
Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the lake operator.
Map
Map of Millers Creek Reservoir with the dam, level gauge and 3 public boat ramps.
- Dam
- Level gauge
- Public boat ramp
Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.
Level and outlook
FeetMeters above sea level
- Measured
- Middle estimate
- 8 in 10 range
- Full pool
Show outlook as a table
| Date | Low end | Middle | High end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | 1328.5404.92 | 1328.6404.95 | 1328.9405.04 |
| Nov 9 | 1328.4404.89 | 1328.6404.96 | 1329.7405.29 |
| Nov 25 | 1328.2404.85 | 1328.7404.99 | 1330.6405.56 |
How well this outlook has done here
We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.
- On average it was off by
- 0.26 ft0.08 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 0.38 ft0.12 m
- Actual level inside our range
- 81% of 428 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).
Connected lakes
Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.
Nearby lakes
Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.
- Lake Stamford26 mi42 km away · 1414.1 ft431.01 m · 74%
- Lake Kemp28 mi45 km away · 1139.6 ft347.36 m · 74%
- Lake Kickapoo39 mi63 km away · 1041.9 ft317.57 m · 80%
- Hubbard Creek Reservoir47 mi75 km away · 1166.0 ft355.38 m · 36%
- Lake Graham49 mi78 km away · 1068.1 ft325.55 m · 66%
- North Fork Buffalo Creek Reservoir54 mi87 km away · 1045.6 ft318.69 m · 76%
About Millers Creek Reservoir
Millers Creek Reservoir is a water-supply lake on Millers Creek in Baylor County, built in 1974. Millers Creek drains to the Brazos River above Possum Kingdom Lake.
- Full pool (conservation)
- 1334.0 ft406.60 m
- Highest level since 1998
- 1341.8 ft408.99 m, Oct 2018
- Lowest level since 1998
- 1310.7 ft399.50 m, Apr 2015
- Surface area at normal pool
- 2,882 acres1,166 ha
- Conservation storage
- 26,768 acre-feet33 million m³
- Dam
- Millers Creek Dam, 1974
- River or creek
- Millers Creek
- County
- Baylor
- Owner
- North Cent Tex MWA Et Al
Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).
Common questions
Is Millers Creek Reservoir full right now?
On Oct 26 it was 1328.5 ft, 5.5 ft below full pool (1334.0 ft), holding 63% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 404.94 m, 1.66 m below full pool (406.60 m), holding 63% of its conservation storage.
Is Millers Creek Reservoir going up or down?
The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 1328.4 ft and 1329.7 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is about steady, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 404.89 m and 405.29 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is 5%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.
Where does this data come from?
Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.