Outlook

Middle estimate, with the range the level has an 8 in 10 chance of landing in. The bars share one scale: change from today.

Next week · by Nov 2617.2 ft188.13 m+0.4 ft+0.12 m from todayLikely 616.9188.04 to 618.1 ft188.41 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 25%

In 2 weeks · by Nov 9617.6 ft188.24 m+0.8 ft+0.23 m from todayLikely 616.6187.95 to 620.1 ft189.02 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 40%

In a month · by Nov 25617.9 ft188.33 m+1.1 ft+0.32 m from todayLikely 616.3187.84 to 620.6 ft189.15 mChance of ending 1 ft0.3 m or more higher: 35%

Higher chance of a rise. 40% chance the lake is 1 ft0.3 m or more above today's level on Nov 9.

Rain, past 7 days: 0.4 in9 mm watershed average
Rain forecast, next 7 days: 0.9 in23 mm normal 0.5 in12 mm

Statistical estimate, not safety, boating, or water-quality advice. For ramps, closures and advisories, check the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

Map

Map of Lake Texoma with the dam and 32 public boat ramps.

Dam
Public boat ramp

Ramp locations from Texas Parks and Wildlife. Whether a ramp is open depends on the lake level; check the operator.

Level and outlook

FeetMeters above sea level

Measured
Middle estimate
8 in 10 range
Full pool

Show outlook as a table

Date	Low end	Middle	High end
Nov 2	616.9188.04	617.2188.13	618.1188.41
Nov 9	616.6187.95	617.6188.24	620.1189.02
Nov 25	616.3187.84	617.9188.33	620.6189.15

How well this outlook has done here

We tested the 2-week outlook on past years at this lake, as if made once a week with only what was known that day.

On average it was off by: 0.82 ft0.25 m Assuming the level stays the same was off by 1.09 ft0.33 m
Actual level inside our range: 79% of 428 tests; the range is built to catch 8 in 10
When we said a rise was possible (20–40%): 34% of those 59 times it ended 1 ft0.3 m or more higher

The rise chance uses the same threshold for every lake: 1 ft (0.3048 m).

Connected lakes

Water from upstream lakes flows into this one; water released here flows on downstream.

Upstream

Nearby lakes

Closest lakes in a straight line, with today's level.

About Lake Texoma

Lake Texoma, among the biggest reservoirs in the country, is formed by Denison Dam on the Red River on the Texas-Oklahoma border, about 5 miles northwest of Denison. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (Tulsa District) completed the dam in 1944 for flood control, water supply and hydropower. More of the lake lies in Oklahoma than in Texas, and most of the Red River basin above it drains into it.

More: Wikipedia · Texas Water Development Board · U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

Full pool (conservation): 617.0 ft188.06 m
Highest level since 1994: 645.6 ft196.79 m, Jun 2015
Lowest level since 1994: 608.1 ft185.35 m, Mar 2014
Surface area at normal pool: 86,910 acres35,171 ha
Conservation storage: 1,243,801 acre-feet1,534 million m³
Dam: Denison Dam, 1944
River or creek: Red River
County: Bryan
Owner: USACE - Tulsa District

Elevations are feetmeters above sea level (NGVD29).

Common questions

Is Lake Texoma full right now?

On Oct 26 it was 616.8 ft, 0.2 ft below full pool (617.0 ft), holding 100% of its conservation storage.On Oct 26 it was 188.01 m, 0.05 m below full pool (188.06 m), holding 100% of its conservation storage.

Is Lake Texoma going up or down?

The middle estimate for Nov 9 is up about 0.8 ft, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 616.6 ft and 620.1 ft. The chance it ends 1 ft or more higher than today is 40%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.The middle estimate for Nov 9 is up about 0.23 m, with an 8 in 10 chance it ends between 187.95 m and 189.02 m. The chance it ends 0.3 m or more higher than today is 40%. Heavy rain can change that quickly.

Where does this data come from?

Daily levels come from the Texas Water Development Board and lake operators. The outlook is our own statistical model, using recent levels and forecast rain over the watershed.